Weekly Market Insights – Monday, December 22, 2025

New Jobs Data Brings Another Volatile Week:

Stocks posted slight gains last week as mixed jobs data triggered some selling pressure before a cooling inflation report helped stocks recover.
The S&P 500 Index inched ahead 0.10%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 0.48%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.67%. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, rose 0.21%.1,2

Source: Bloomberg Finance, L.P. (Performance data normalized 12/12/25 = 0)

Round Trip for Stocks

A mixed jobs report on Tuesday created some concerns about the economy, leading the S&P 500 and Dow Industrials to modest declines. However, the tech-heavy Nasdaq posted a modest gain.3,4
Stocks continued their retreat on Wednesday with a handful of AI-related names leading the decline.5
Markets then staged a rebound as a fresh inflation report came in cooler than expected for November, raising investor hopes that interest rates may trend lower. The S&P 500 and Dow Industrials broke four-day losing streaks, while the Nasdaq rebounded 1.4% on Thursday alone.6
Megacap tech stocks rebounded on the last trading day of the week, lifting the broader market. Investors appeared to look past a disappointing report on consumer sentiment.7

Sources: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Charles Schwab

The Push & Pull of Jobs & Inflation

The Bureau of Labor Statistics combined its October and November employment data into one report. However, the October report only contained partial data due to the shutdown, while the November numbers reflected full data.
While November saw an unexpected increase (+64,000 versus economist expectations of +45,000), the October report showed employers cut 105,000 jobs. The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.6%.8
The Consumer Price Index’s (CPI) 2.7% year-over-year pace for November was slower than the 3.1% economists expected, and slower than September’s 3.0% pace. Market gains were tempered, however, as economists cautioned that shutdown-related gaps may have influenced some of the data.9

This Week: Key Economic Data

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Author

Gary Aiken
Chief Investment Officer
Concord Asset Management

Footnotes and Sources

1WSJ.com, December 19, 2025
2Investing.com, December 19, 2025
3CNBC.com, December 16, 2025
4WSJ.com, December 16, 2025
5CNBC.com, December 17, 2025
6CWSJ.com, December 18, 2025
7CNBC.com, December 19, 20255
8WSJ.com, December 16, 2025
9WSJ.com, December 18, 2025

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