Stocks Stumble with CPI on Deck:
Rising concerns about further rate hikes sent stocks lower to kick off the second half of trading.
Over the last month, The Dow Jones Industrial Average returned 0.03%, while the S&P 500 returned 2.37%. The Nasdaq Composite Index returned 2.87%.
Source: Charles Schwab & Co, Inc.
Stocks were dragged lower last week by news reigniting fears of additional interest rate increases. It started with the minutes from June’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which revealed a majority of voting members supported at least two more rate hikes. But a strong employment report from Automated Data Processing (ADP), a payroll processor, unnerved investors, sending stocks lower and bond yields higher.
Markets stabilized after Friday morning’s federal government’s monthly employment release showed a less-than-expected increase in nonfarm payrolls. But stock prices turned down in the afternoon, adding to the week’s losses.
Mixed Labor Market Signals
Wall Street was rattled by an unexpected surge in new private-sector jobs last Thursday. ADP reported private sector employers had added 497,000 jobs in June, blowing away the consensus estimate of 220,000. Leisure and hospitality led the gains with 232,000 new hires, followed by construction (97,000).1
Friday’s release of monthly employment data painted a more moderate picture, with 209,000 new jobs added in June, well below the estimate of 240,000 and May’s downwardly revised total of 306,000. Friday’s report added to data released earlier in the week (a decline in job openings and a rise in jobless claims) that suggested that the labor market may be cooling.2
This Week: Key Economic Data
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
At Concord Asset Management, we design portfolios for the long run, with the ability to navigate various market cycles. However, you can have confidence that we are monitoring these market-moving events, and we will make reasonable, tactical adjustments as necessary.
Chief Investment Officer
Concord Asset Management
Footnotes and Sources
1CNBC, July 6, 2023
2CNBC, July 7, 2023
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