Weekly Market Insights – Tuesday, December 26, 2023

Investor Optimism Boosts Stocks for the Holidays:

Investor enthusiasm and fears of missing out on potential future gains helped propel stocks higher in the last full week of trading before the holiday. Market participants eagerly embraced the opportunity to capitalize on recent sentiment and position themselves for potential returns in the coming year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.22%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 gained 0.75%. The Nasdaq Composite index advanced 1.21% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, added 0.51%.1

Source: Bloomberg Finance, L.P.

Source: Charles Schwab & Co., Inc

Stocks Build on Gains

The current market narrative of declining inflation, easing interest rates, and better earnings ahead continued to fuel stock market gains, with some of the year’s laggards, such as smaller cap stocks and energy names, leading the way.
While the stock market has repeatedly seen gains gather steam in the final trading hours, a late-day sell-off on Wednesday unnerved investors. While it’s difficult to know precisely why, the sharp decline may have resulted from profit-taking and low trading volumes, which can result in unexpected volatility or other technical reasons. Whatever the case, stocks rebounded nicely the following day and Friday.

Housing Revival?

The housing market struggled this year amid higher mortgage rates and rising home prices. Last week, several housing reports suggested the housing market may be improving.
New home construction rose 14.8% in November, reaching levels not seen since May, while existing home sales rebounded 0.8%, reversing five straight months of declines. Existing home sales have been hurt by low inventory since many homeowners with low-rate mortgages are hesitant to move and take on a higher-rate mortgage. This logjam may loosen as 30-year mortgage rates fell from 7.79% at the end of October to 6.95% in mid-November.2,3
New home sales disappointed, however, falling 12.2%, though they came in 1.4% higher from November a year ago.4

This Week: Key Economic Data

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.

At Concord Asset Management, we design portfolios for the long run, with the ability to navigate various market cycles. However, you can have confidence that we are monitoring these market-moving events, and we will make reasonable, tactical adjustments as necessary.

Author

Gary Aiken
Chief Investment Officer
Concord Asset Management

Footnotes and Sources

1The Wall Street Journal, December 22, 2023
2MarketWatch, December 19, 2023
3Fox Business, December 20, 2023
4U.S. Census Bureau, December 22, 2023

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